**Forecast uncertainty around nocturnal cooling in Panama City's wet-season conditions drives the closely matched market odds.** Typical August minimums hover near 24–26°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity, where overnight cloud cover and thunderstorms suppress radiative heat loss and keep lows elevated. Recent model runs show minor variations in timing and intensity of showers on the 25th, which could shift the daily low by 1–2°C depending on whether skies clear enough for greater cooling or remain overcast. The elevated probabilities on 21°C or below and 31°C or higher reflect trader recognition of tail risks from forecast spread and measurement precision at official stations, rather than strong consensus for extremes. Updated NHC or local meteorological briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日巴拿马城最低温度?
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 59%
30°C 45%
22°C 44%
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
44%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
24%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
44%
29°C
20%
30°C
45%
31°C或更高
59%
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 59%
30°C 45%
22°C 44%
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
44%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
24%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
44%
29°C
20%
30°C
45%
31°C或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast uncertainty around nocturnal cooling in Panama City's wet-season conditions drives the closely matched market odds.** Typical August minimums hover near 24–26°C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity, where overnight cloud cover and thunderstorms suppress radiative heat loss and keep lows elevated. Recent model runs show minor variations in timing and intensity of showers on the 25th, which could shift the daily low by 1–2°C depending on whether skies clear enough for greater cooling or remain overcast. The elevated probabilities on 21°C or below and 31°C or higher reflect trader recognition of tail risks from forecast spread and measurement precision at official stations, rather than strong consensus for extremes. Updated NHC or local meteorological briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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