Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日北京气温最高？
8月28日北京气温最高？
24°C 39%
23°C 20%
25°C 16%
22°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
20°C or below
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
20%
24°C
35%
25°C
16%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 20%
25°C 16%
22°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
20°C or below
$39 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
5%
22°C
$0 交易量
15%
23°C
$102 交易量
20%
24°C
$7 交易量
35%
25°C
$5 交易量
16%
26°C
$20 交易量
11%
27°C
$29 交易量
5%
28°C
$12 交易量
4%
29°C
$32 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$25 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$270结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$270结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a frontal system delivering cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and suppressed insolation over Beijing on August 28, keeping the daily maximum well below the 30°C August climatology. This pattern favors a peak near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s leading 34.5% implied probability on 24°C while leaving room for 23°C or 25°C outcomes depending on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture. Key variables include steering flow strength, which could shift the rain shield, and any brief clearing that allows additional surface heating; traders weigh these against official 24°C forecasts and historical analogs of similar late-summer cool outbreaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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