Trader consensus favoring 18–19°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 28 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows moderated by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a passing frontal system. Persistent humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the typical nighttime drop, keeping minima slightly below the 20°C late-August climatological average while steering patterns from the northwest prevent stronger cold-air advection. Model runs display limited spread around these values, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C; resolution depends on final observational data from official stations tracking minimums through the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日北京最低气温？
8月28日北京最低气温？
17°C 48%
18°C 46%
16°C 2%
15°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
25%
18°C
46%
19°C
51%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 48%
18°C 46%
16°C 2%
15°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
15°C or below
$37 交易量
1%
16°C
$152 交易量
2%
17°C
$15 交易量
25%
18°C
$103 交易量
46%
19°C
$5 交易量
51%
20°C
$185 交易量
<1%
21°C
$226 交易量
<1%
22°C
$366 交易量
<1%
23°C
$134 交易量
<1%
24°C
$618 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$164 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 18–19°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 28 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows moderated by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a passing frontal system. Persistent humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the typical nighttime drop, keeping minima slightly below the 20°C late-August climatological average while steering patterns from the northwest prevent stronger cold-air advection. Model runs display limited spread around these values, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C; resolution depends on final observational data from official stations tracking minimums through the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,004结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 18–19°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 28 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows moderated by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a passing frontal system. Persistent humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the typical nighttime drop, keeping minima slightly below the 20°C late-August climatological average while steering patterns from the northwest prevent stronger cold-air advection. Model runs display limited spread around these values, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C; resolution depends on final observational data from official stations tracking minimums through the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,004结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus favoring 18–19°C as Beijing’s lowest temperature on August 28 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight lows moderated by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with a passing frontal system. Persistent humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit the typical nighttime drop, keeping minima slightly below the 20°C late-August climatological average while steering patterns from the northwest prevent stronger cold-air advection. Model runs display limited spread around these values, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief dips toward 17°C; resolution depends on final observational data from official stations tracking minimums through the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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