Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models places the August 27 high in Dallas near 99–101 °F under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, supporting the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to today’s 102 °F reading, driven by a shift to northerly flow that reduces advection of hotter air while still allowing strong diurnal heating beneath high pressure. Historical late-August climatology (mean highs near 93–96 °F) and current heat-index guidance near 106–109 °F underscore the elevated baseline, yet lingering model spread and potential for afternoon convection introduce the observed probability weighting toward the 96–101 °F range. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日达拉斯的最高温度?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 6%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 6%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models places the August 27 high in Dallas near 99–101 °F under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, supporting the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to today’s 102 °F reading, driven by a shift to northerly flow that reduces advection of hotter air while still allowing strong diurnal heating beneath high pressure. Historical late-August climatology (mean highs near 93–96 °F) and current heat-index guidance near 106–109 °F underscore the elevated baseline, yet lingering model spread and potential for afternoon convection introduce the observed probability weighting toward the 96–101 °F range. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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