Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models point to a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 28, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds off the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 30–32°C highs and recent observations showing maxima around 30–31°C amid scattered drizzle and high humidity near 65–75%. Model consensus shows little intensification potential before resolution, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (44.5%) to 32°C and substantial support (27.5%) to 31°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable, non-extreme conditions rather than outlier heat. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日卡拉奇的最高温度?
32°C 44%
31°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35℃
2%
36°C或更高
2%
32°C 44%
31°C 27%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35℃
2%
36°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models point to a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Karachi on August 28, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, extensive cloud cover, and moderate winds off the Arabian Sea that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 30–32°C highs and recent observations showing maxima around 30–31°C amid scattered drizzle and high humidity near 65–75%. Model consensus shows little intensification potential before resolution, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability (44.5%) to 32°C and substantial support (27.5%) to 31°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable, non-extreme conditions rather than outlier heat. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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