Persistent southwest monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon, is driving extensive cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and high precipitation probabilities (80–100%) across Metro Manila on August 28. These conditions suppress daytime solar heating and limit the potential for strong surface warming, positioning forecast maximum temperatures from official PAGASA guidance and global models primarily in the 28–30°C range. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx that favor this cooler-than-clear-sky profile, with only limited breaks in convection allowing brief peaks near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 30°C (39%), 29°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) implied probabilities closely tracks this ensemble outlook ahead of the final observational data release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月28日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 40%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
23°C或以下
$581 交易量
<1%
24°C
$217 交易量
<1%
25°C
$487 交易量
<1%
26°C
$74 交易量
1%
27°C
$232 交易量
4%
28°C
$1,417 交易量
8%
29°C
$1,716 交易量
24%
30°C
$197 交易量
40%
31°C
$567 交易量
22%
32°C
$333 交易量
3%
33°C或更高
$252 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon, is driving extensive cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and high precipitation probabilities (80–100%) across Metro Manila on August 28. These conditions suppress daytime solar heating and limit the potential for strong surface warming, positioning forecast maximum temperatures from official PAGASA guidance and global models primarily in the 28–30°C range. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx that favor this cooler-than-clear-sky profile, with only limited breaks in convection allowing brief peaks near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 30°C (39%), 29°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) implied probabilities closely tracks this ensemble outlook ahead of the final observational data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,020结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon, is driving extensive cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and high precipitation probabilities (80–100%) across Metro Manila on August 28. These conditions suppress daytime solar heating and limit the potential for strong surface warming, positioning forecast maximum temperatures from official PAGASA guidance and global models primarily in the 28–30°C range. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx that favor this cooler-than-clear-sky profile, with only limited breaks in convection allowing brief peaks near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 30°C (39%), 29°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) implied probabilities closely tracks this ensemble outlook ahead of the final observational data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,020结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of Luzon, is driving extensive cloud cover, scattered to widespread thunderstorms, and high precipitation probabilities (80–100%) across Metro Manila on August 28. These conditions suppress daytime solar heating and limit the potential for strong surface warming, positioning forecast maximum temperatures from official PAGASA guidance and global models primarily in the 28–30°C range. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx that favor this cooler-than-clear-sky profile, with only limited breaks in convection allowing brief peaks near 31°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 30°C (39%), 29°C (23.5%), and 31°C (22.5%) implied probabilities closely tracks this ensemble outlook ahead of the final observational data release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题