Forecast models and real-time observations from the Beijing Capital International Airport station indicate a daily maximum near 30°C today, driven by partly to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that permit typical late-summer surface heating without significant cloud suppression. This aligns with climatological August averages of 29–30°C after yesterday’s cooler 24°C reading, which resulted from a high-altitude trough and persistent overcast. Short-range guidance shows minimal risk of exceeding 31°C or falling to 29°C or below, as afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing stabilize temperatures around the 30°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with new model runs and station data expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日北京气温最高？
8月29日北京气温最高？
30°C 65%
31°C 35.0%
32°C 4.0%
33°C <1%
$40,797 交易量
$40,797 交易量
2026-08-29
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
65%
31°C
35%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 65%
31°C 35.0%
32°C 4.0%
33°C <1%
$40,797 交易量
$40,797 交易量
2026-08-29
25°C or below
$692 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,892 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,548 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,645 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,761 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5,079 交易量
65%
31°C
$5,800 交易量
35%
32°C
$5,140 交易量
4%
33°C
$4,031 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,200 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,007 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from the Beijing Capital International Airport station indicate a daily maximum near 30°C today, driven by partly to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that permit typical late-summer surface heating without significant cloud suppression. This aligns with climatological August averages of 29–30°C after yesterday’s cooler 24°C reading, which resulted from a high-altitude trough and persistent overcast. Short-range guidance shows minimal risk of exceeding 31°C or falling to 29°C or below, as afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing stabilize temperatures around the 30°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with new model runs and station data expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$40,797结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from the Beijing Capital International Airport station indicate a daily maximum near 30°C today, driven by partly to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that permit typical late-summer surface heating without significant cloud suppression. This aligns with climatological August averages of 29–30°C after yesterday’s cooler 24°C reading, which resulted from a high-altitude trough and persistent overcast. Short-range guidance shows minimal risk of exceeding 31°C or falling to 29°C or below, as afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing stabilize temperatures around the 30°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with new model runs and station data expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,797结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models and real-time observations from the Beijing Capital International Airport station indicate a daily maximum near 30°C today, driven by partly to mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels that permit typical late-summer surface heating without significant cloud suppression. This aligns with climatological August averages of 29–30°C after yesterday’s cooler 24°C reading, which resulted from a high-altitude trough and persistent overcast. Short-range guidance shows minimal risk of exceeding 31°C or falling to 29°C or below, as afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing stabilize temperatures around the 30°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with new model runs and station data expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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