Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center show ensemble means favoring overnight lows of 17–18°C in Beijing for August 29, driven by clear skies under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows efficient radiational cooling after sunset. This consensus reflects recent model runs incorporating upper-level subsidence and light northerly flow that advects slightly drier continental air, reducing humidity and heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 20°C, so the implied market odds of roughly 44% for 17°C and 18°C capture the current downward shift in guidance. Remaining uncertainty stems from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential local urban heat-island effects that could add 1–2°C; updated short-range runs and official CMA briefings expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日北京最低气温？
8月29日北京最低气温？
14°C or below 60%
18°C 46%
17°C 41%
19°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
60%
15°C
5%
16°C
31%
17°C
41%
18°C
46%
19°C
36%
20°C
31%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
4%
14°C or below 60%
18°C 46%
17°C 41%
19°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
14°C or below
$5 交易量
60%
15°C
$56 交易量
5%
16°C
$0 交易量
31%
17°C
$0 交易量
41%
18°C
$0 交易量
46%
19°C
$0 交易量
36%
20°C
$0 交易量
31%
21°C
$75 交易量
4%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$5 交易量
8%
24°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center show ensemble means favoring overnight lows of 17–18°C in Beijing for August 29, driven by clear skies under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows efficient radiational cooling after sunset. This consensus reflects recent model runs incorporating upper-level subsidence and light northerly flow that advects slightly drier continental air, reducing humidity and heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 20°C, so the implied market odds of roughly 44% for 17°C and 18°C capture the current downward shift in guidance. Remaining uncertainty stems from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential local urban heat-island effects that could add 1–2°C; updated short-range runs and official CMA briefings expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$151结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center show ensemble means favoring overnight lows of 17–18°C in Beijing for August 29, driven by clear skies under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows efficient radiational cooling after sunset. This consensus reflects recent model runs incorporating upper-level subsidence and light northerly flow that advects slightly drier continental air, reducing humidity and heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 20°C, so the implied market odds of roughly 44% for 17°C and 18°C capture the current downward shift in guidance. Remaining uncertainty stems from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential local urban heat-island effects that could add 1–2°C; updated short-range runs and official CMA briefings expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$151结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center show ensemble means favoring overnight lows of 17–18°C in Beijing for August 29, driven by clear skies under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows efficient radiational cooling after sunset. This consensus reflects recent model runs incorporating upper-level subsidence and light northerly flow that advects slightly drier continental air, reducing humidity and heat retention in the urban boundary layer. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 20°C, so the implied market odds of roughly 44% for 17°C and 18°C capture the current downward shift in guidance. Remaining uncertainty stems from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and potential local urban heat-island effects that could add 1–2°C; updated short-range runs and official CMA briefings expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the overnight observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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