Traders see the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 29 as most likely falling between 25°C and 26°C, with closely matched 50% implied probabilities, reflecting tight consensus around typical late-August nocturnal cooling in this tropical maritime climate. Diurnal temperature ranges narrow under high humidity and frequent convective cloud cover during the rainy season, while light trade winds and any overnight showers limit radiative cooling. Nearby ocean temperatures near 29°C and regional subsidence patterns further moderate extremes, keeping outcomes below 20°C at just 17.5% and above 27°C near zero. Model consensus from agencies such as NOAA shows minimal day-to-day variability this time of year, with the narrow spread underscoring uncertainty in exact minimum readings from official stations until final observations are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日巴拿马城最低温度?
21°C 96%
22°C 96%
20°C 93%
25°C 50%
$669 交易量
$669 交易量
19°C或以下
35%
20°C
93%
21°C
96%
22°C
96%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
21°C 96%
22°C 96%
20°C 93%
25°C 50%
$669 交易量
$669 交易量
19°C或以下
35%
20°C
93%
21°C
96%
22°C
96%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 29 as most likely falling between 25°C and 26°C, with closely matched 50% implied probabilities, reflecting tight consensus around typical late-August nocturnal cooling in this tropical maritime climate. Diurnal temperature ranges narrow under high humidity and frequent convective cloud cover during the rainy season, while light trade winds and any overnight showers limit radiative cooling. Nearby ocean temperatures near 29°C and regional subsidence patterns further moderate extremes, keeping outcomes below 20°C at just 17.5% and above 27°C near zero. Model consensus from agencies such as NOAA shows minimal day-to-day variability this time of year, with the narrow spread underscoring uncertainty in exact minimum readings from official stations until final observations are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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