Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate highs of 78–85°F across Los Angeles stations on August 31, with coastal sites like LAX near 77–78°F and downtown areas 83–85°F amid a weakening heat dome. Trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin reflects model consensus for marine-layer stratus and onshore flow moderating temperatures after late-August peaks near 90°F. Sea breezes and typical late-summer coastal advection historically cap readings near the 76.8°F climatological average, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing supports narrower ranges around 76–81°F. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日洛杉矶气温最高?
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 14%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73华氏度
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
7%
84°F或更高
6%
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 14%
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73华氏度
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
7%
84°F或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate highs of 78–85°F across Los Angeles stations on August 31, with coastal sites like LAX near 77–78°F and downtown areas 83–85°F amid a weakening heat dome. Trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin reflects model consensus for marine-layer stratus and onshore flow moderating temperatures after late-August peaks near 90°F. Sea breezes and typical late-summer coastal advection historically cap readings near the 76.8°F climatological average, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing supports narrower ranges around 76–81°F. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题