Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles point to morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies on August 30, supporting a high near 88°F amid light southwest winds and seasonal onshore flow. This follows a brief heat advisory period on the 29th, with slight cooling expected as marine influence strengthens. Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on 82-83°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential station-specific readings, and typical day-to-day variability around the 77°F climatological average high, while lower probabilities on 84°F+ outcomes align with the risk of modest underperformance if clouds linger longer than modeled. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月30日洛杉矶气温最高？
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
69°F或更低
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
5%
88°F或更高
2%
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
69°F或更低
$331 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$245 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$163 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$67 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$6 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$45 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$451 交易量
29%
82-83°F
$768 交易量
42%
84-85°F
$21 交易量
16%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
5%
88°F或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles point to morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies on August 30, supporting a high near 88°F amid light southwest winds and seasonal onshore flow. This follows a brief heat advisory period on the 29th, with slight cooling expected as marine influence strengthens. Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on 82-83°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential station-specific readings, and typical day-to-day variability around the 77°F climatological average high, while lower probabilities on 84°F+ outcomes align with the risk of modest underperformance if clouds linger longer than modeled. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,104结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles point to morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies on August 30, supporting a high near 88°F amid light southwest winds and seasonal onshore flow. This follows a brief heat advisory period on the 29th, with slight cooling expected as marine influence strengthens. Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on 82-83°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential station-specific readings, and typical day-to-day variability around the 77°F climatological average high, while lower probabilities on 84°F+ outcomes align with the risk of modest underperformance if clouds linger longer than modeled. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,104结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for downtown Los Angeles point to morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies on August 30, supporting a high near 88°F amid light southwest winds and seasonal onshore flow. This follows a brief heat advisory period on the 29th, with slight cooling expected as marine influence strengthens. Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on 82-83°F (42.5%) and 80-81°F (27.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential station-specific readings, and typical day-to-day variability around the 77°F climatological average high, while lower probabilities on 84°F+ outcomes align with the risk of modest underperformance if clouds linger longer than modeled. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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