Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin project a mostly sunny Monday with a high near 99°F under southerly flow of 5-10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This consensus centers market-implied odds on the 98-99°F bin at 44.5%, just ahead of 100-101°F at 38%, reflecting typical uncertainty in peak afternoon mixing and boundary-layer heating. With August climatology showing an average high of 94.6°F and a long-term record of 106°F, the current setup favors values near or slightly above normal due to persistent high pressure and negligible rain chances. Subtle differences in dew-point advection or localized heating could tip the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold, while any unexpected increase in mid-level moisture would cap it lower. Traders await the next NWS update and afternoon model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月31日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 39%
96-97°F 21%
94-95°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 39%
96-97°F 21%
94-95°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
89°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
7%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
18%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
21%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
45%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
39%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
13%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
17%
106-107°F
$0 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin project a mostly sunny Monday with a high near 99°F under southerly flow of 5-10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This consensus centers market-implied odds on the 98-99°F bin at 44.5%, just ahead of 100-101°F at 38%, reflecting typical uncertainty in peak afternoon mixing and boundary-layer heating. With August climatology showing an average high of 94.6°F and a long-term record of 106°F, the current setup favors values near or slightly above normal due to persistent high pressure and negligible rain chances. Subtle differences in dew-point advection or localized heating could tip the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold, while any unexpected increase in mid-level moisture would cap it lower. Traders await the next NWS update and afternoon model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin project a mostly sunny Monday with a high near 99°F under southerly flow of 5-10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This consensus centers market-implied odds on the 98-99°F bin at 44.5%, just ahead of 100-101°F at 38%, reflecting typical uncertainty in peak afternoon mixing and boundary-layer heating. With August climatology showing an average high of 94.6°F and a long-term record of 106°F, the current setup favors values near or slightly above normal due to persistent high pressure and negligible rain chances. Subtle differences in dew-point advection or localized heating could tip the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold, while any unexpected increase in mid-level moisture would cap it lower. Traders await the next NWS update and afternoon model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin project a mostly sunny Monday with a high near 99°F under southerly flow of 5-10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This consensus centers market-implied odds on the 98-99°F bin at 44.5%, just ahead of 100-101°F at 38%, reflecting typical uncertainty in peak afternoon mixing and boundary-layer heating. With August climatology showing an average high of 94.6°F and a long-term record of 106°F, the current setup favors values near or slightly above normal due to persistent high pressure and negligible rain chances. Subtle differences in dew-point advection or localized heating could tip the daily maximum across the 100°F threshold, while any unexpected increase in mid-level moisture would cap it lower. Traders await the next NWS update and afternoon model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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