Current National Weather Service and commercial model consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions limit radiational cooling relative to clearer nights, keeping the minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F while remaining well above the August 31 record low of 51°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 54–59°F bins reflects modest forecast spread in marine-layer depth and wind timing, with resolution depending on the precise hourly minimum recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于旧金山8月31日的最低温度？
旧金山8月31日的最低温度？
56-57°F 54%
62-63°F 43%
64-65°F 43%
58-59°F 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
47°F或以下
3%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
41%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
43%
64-65°F
43%
66°F或更高
2%
56-57°F 54%
62-63°F 43%
64-65°F 43%
58-59°F 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
47°F或以下
$138 交易量
3%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
10%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
8%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
23%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
25%
56-57°F
$18 交易量
37%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
41%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
23%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
43%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
43%
66°F或更高
$150 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and commercial model consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions limit radiational cooling relative to clearer nights, keeping the minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F while remaining well above the August 31 record low of 51°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 54–59°F bins reflects modest forecast spread in marine-layer depth and wind timing, with resolution depending on the precise hourly minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$306结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and commercial model consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions limit radiational cooling relative to clearer nights, keeping the minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F while remaining well above the August 31 record low of 51°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 54–59°F bins reflects modest forecast spread in marine-layer depth and wind timing, with resolution depending on the precise hourly minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$306结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and commercial model consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10–20 mph. These conditions limit radiational cooling relative to clearer nights, keeping the minimum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F while remaining well above the August 31 record low of 51°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 54–59°F bins reflects modest forecast spread in marine-layer depth and wind timing, with resolution depending on the precise hourly minimum recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题