**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier. Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月31日巴拿马城气温最高？
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C或更高
10%
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
14%
29°C
$0 交易量
22%
30°C
$6 交易量
27%
31°C
$0 交易量
35%
32°C
$11 交易量
19%
33°C或更高
$153 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier.
Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$170结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier.
Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$170结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Persistent tropical moisture and frequent convection are capping maximum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, near the seasonal norm of 30–32°C.** Official guidance and ensemble models through late August show widespread cloud cover and showers tied to ITCZ activity, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors a peak near 31°C on August 31, aligning with the market’s leading 36.5% implied probability, while a 30°C outcome (26.5%) remains plausible if heavier afternoon rain arrives earlier. Recent model runs indicate limited clearing windows that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher (18% implied), but widespread thunderstorms are expected to keep surface heating in check. Historical late-August data show highs rarely exceed 33°C without anomalous dry spells, supporting the lower probabilities assigned to 33°C+ (12%) and cooler outcomes below 29°C. Updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the primary near-term drivers of any shifts in these trader-assessed ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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