Recent forecast consensus from regional meteorological models points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Official guidance from Shanghai authorities and global models such as those referenced by the Met Office and local bureaus project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 60–70% helping cap extremes. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects the weight of current model runs showing modest cooling from rain chances, while any reduction in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could nudge readings toward 32°C before official station data finalize the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日上海气温最高？
8月30日上海气温最高？
31°C 52%
32°C 39%
30°C 6%
33°C 3%
最新
$15,461 交易量
最新
$15,461 交易量
2026-08-30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
52%
32°C
39%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 39%
30°C 6%
33°C 3%
最新
$15,461 交易量
最新
$15,461 交易量
2026-08-30
26°C or below
$241 交易量
<1%
27°C
$35 交易量
<1%
28°C
$836 交易量
1%
29°C
$782 交易量
1%
30°C
$2,669 交易量
6%
31°C
$4,508 交易量
52%
32°C
$2,406 交易量
39%
33°C
$2,250 交易量
3%
34°C
$1,080 交易量
<1%
35°C
$422 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$233 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional meteorological models points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Official guidance from Shanghai authorities and global models such as those referenced by the Met Office and local bureaus project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 60–70% helping cap extremes. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects the weight of current model runs showing modest cooling from rain chances, while any reduction in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could nudge readings toward 32°C before official station data finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,461结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional meteorological models points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Official guidance from Shanghai authorities and global models such as those referenced by the Met Office and local bureaus project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 60–70% helping cap extremes. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects the weight of current model runs showing modest cooling from rain chances, while any reduction in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could nudge readings toward 32°C before official station data finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,461结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from regional meteorological models points to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. Official guidance from Shanghai authorities and global models such as those referenced by the Met Office and local bureaus project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 60–70% helping cap extremes. This aligns with late-August climatology where daily maxima average near 31°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome reflects the weight of current model runs showing modest cooling from rain chances, while any reduction in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could nudge readings toward 32°C before official station data finalize the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题