Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 30–32°C in Wuhan today, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds associated with a nearby weather system that moderated temperatures after several days above 35°C. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum below recent peaks while humidity remains elevated around 70–80%. Market-implied odds clustering on 29–31°C reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether convection develops before or after the warmest afternoon hours. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor slightly cooler outcomes. Updated NMC guidance and local station data through the afternoon will refine resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日武汉气温最高?
30°C 34%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
28°C 9.4%
$25,563 交易量
$25,563 交易量
27°C or below
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
22%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 22%
29°C 19%
28°C 9.4%
$25,563 交易量
$25,563 交易量
27°C or below
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
22%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 30–32°C in Wuhan today, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds associated with a nearby weather system that moderated temperatures after several days above 35°C. These conditions reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the daily maximum below recent peaks while humidity remains elevated around 70–80%. Market-implied odds clustering on 29–31°C reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether convection develops before or after the warmest afternoon hours. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor slightly cooler outcomes. Updated NMC guidance and local station data through the afternoon will refine resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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