Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月30日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 41%
24°C 36%
26°C或更高 12%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
36%
25°C
41%
26°C或更高
12%
25°C 41%
24°C 36%
26°C或更高 12%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
$158 交易量
<1%
17°C
$140 交易量
<1%
18°C
$241 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
<1%
20°C
$87 交易量
1%
21°C
$97 交易量
2%
22°C
$12 交易量
4%
23°C
$30 交易量
10%
24°C
$42 交易量
36%
25°C
$194 交易量
41%
26°C或更高
$28 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,043结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,043结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题