Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models indicate a daytime high near 23°C for Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a modest chance of showers. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical maxima hover around 22–23°C amid transitioning synoptic patterns. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 22–24°C because ensemble spreads remain modest, with differences driven by uncertainties in cloud timing, precipitation efficiency, and boundary-layer mixing that modulate peak solar heating. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift odds if drier or clearer conditions emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日莫斯科最高气温?
23°C 43%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
16%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 43%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
16%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models indicate a daytime high near 23°C for Moscow on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a modest chance of showers. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical maxima hover around 22–23°C amid transitioning synoptic patterns. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 22–24°C because ensemble spreads remain modest, with differences driven by uncertainties in cloud timing, precipitation efficiency, and boundary-layer mixing that modulate peak solar heating. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift odds if drier or clearer conditions emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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