Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 31 will most likely range 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and modest moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 13–15°C. Ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any brief showers, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, while historical late-August climatology (typical lows near 14°C) anchors expectations. Traders weigh the latest model runs against these factors, with resolution depending on the official recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日莫斯科最低气温？
8月31日莫斯科最低气温？
16°C 90%
10°C 89%
11°C 89%
12°C 89%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
9°C or below
46%
10°C
89%
11°C
89%
12°C
89%
13°C
46%
14°C
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
90%
17°C
50%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
46%
16°C 90%
10°C 89%
11°C 89%
12°C 89%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
9°C or below
$0 交易量
46%
10°C
$0 交易量
89%
11°C
$0 交易量
89%
12°C
$0 交易量
89%
13°C
$0 交易量
46%
14°C
$0 交易量
46%
15°C
$0 交易量
46%
16°C
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$0 交易量
50%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C or higher
$0 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 31 will most likely range 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and modest moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 13–15°C. Ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any brief showers, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, while historical late-August climatology (typical lows near 14°C) anchors expectations. Traders weigh the latest model runs against these factors, with resolution depending on the official recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 31 will most likely range 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and modest moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 13–15°C. Ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any brief showers, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, while historical late-August climatology (typical lows near 14°C) anchors expectations. Traders weigh the latest model runs against these factors, with resolution depending on the official recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 31 will most likely range 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and modest moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 13–15°C. Ensemble spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any brief showers, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, while historical late-August climatology (typical lows near 14°C) anchors expectations. Traders weigh the latest model runs against these factors, with resolution depending on the official recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题