Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 9–13 °C, with ensemble runs clustering near 10–12 °C. This range arises mainly from variable nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds of 2–8 m/s that limit mixing, and surface pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. Clear spells enhance longwave heat loss, potentially pushing readings toward 10 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger advection keeps values nearer 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.2 °C, and the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes reflects unresolved differences in model boundary-layer schemes and timing of any brief showers that could alter the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日莫斯科最低气温？
8月29日莫斯科最低气温？
11°C 46%
10°C 46%
9°C 6%
8°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
46%
13°C or higher
<1%
11°C 46%
10°C 46%
9°C 6%
8°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
3°C or below
$35 交易量
<1%
4°C
$170 交易量
1%
5°C
$117 交易量
<1%
6°C
$121 交易量
<1%
7°C
$91 交易量
<1%
8°C
$95 交易量
1%
9°C
$14 交易量
6%
10°C
$0 交易量
46%
11°C
$0 交易量
46%
12°C
$17 交易量
46%
13°C or higher
$347 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 9–13 °C, with ensemble runs clustering near 10–12 °C. This range arises mainly from variable nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds of 2–8 m/s that limit mixing, and surface pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. Clear spells enhance longwave heat loss, potentially pushing readings toward 10 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger advection keeps values nearer 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.2 °C, and the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes reflects unresolved differences in model boundary-layer schemes and timing of any brief showers that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,008结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 9–13 °C, with ensemble runs clustering near 10–12 °C. This range arises mainly from variable nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds of 2–8 m/s that limit mixing, and surface pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. Clear spells enhance longwave heat loss, potentially pushing readings toward 10 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger advection keeps values nearer 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.2 °C, and the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes reflects unresolved differences in model boundary-layer schemes and timing of any brief showers that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,008结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 9–13 °C, with ensemble runs clustering near 10–12 °C. This range arises mainly from variable nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds of 2–8 m/s that limit mixing, and surface pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. Clear spells enhance longwave heat loss, potentially pushing readings toward 10 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger advection keeps values nearer 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.2 °C, and the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes reflects unresolved differences in model boundary-layer schemes and timing of any brief showers that could alter the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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