Official forecasts from the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports daytime highs clustered around 19–21°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation preventing significant warming above seasonal norms for late August. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (43.5%), while lower odds for 22°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or warmer advection. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping trader focus on the rain-cooled trajectory and any final pre-dawn updates that could nudge resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日伦敦气温最高？
8月29日伦敦气温最高？
21°C 43%
20°C 29%
22°C 15%
19°C 11%
最新
$10,257 交易量
最新
$10,257 交易量
2026-08-29
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
29%
21°C
43%
22°C
15%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 29%
22°C 15%
19°C 11%
最新
$10,257 交易量
最新
$10,257 交易量
2026-08-29
16°C or below
$132 交易量
<1%
17°C
$222 交易量
1%
18°C
$310 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,314 交易量
11%
20°C
$1,993 交易量
29%
21°C
$3,131 交易量
43%
22°C
$987 交易量
15%
23°C
$1,139 交易量
5%
24°C
$644 交易量
2%
25°C
$379 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$152 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports daytime highs clustered around 19–21°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation preventing significant warming above seasonal norms for late August. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (43.5%), while lower odds for 22°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or warmer advection. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping trader focus on the rain-cooled trajectory and any final pre-dawn updates that could nudge resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$10,257结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports daytime highs clustered around 19–21°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation preventing significant warming above seasonal norms for late August. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (43.5%), while lower odds for 22°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or warmer advection. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping trader focus on the rain-cooled trajectory and any final pre-dawn updates that could nudge resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,257结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF supports daytime highs clustered around 19–21°C, with precipitation and reduced insolation preventing significant warming above seasonal norms for late August. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (43.5%), while lower odds for 22°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or warmer advection. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping trader focus on the rain-cooled trajectory and any final pre-dawn updates that could nudge resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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