Recent model consensus from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a daytime high near 34–35°C in Taipei on August 30, with partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and southeasterly flow typically support highs in the mid-30s Celsius absent stronger monsoon or tropical influences. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable convective timing and cloud cover, keeping 35°C and 36°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日台北气温最高？
8月30日台北气温最高？
35°C 48%
36°C 36%
34°C 10%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
48%
36°C
36%
37°C
6%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
36°C 36%
34°C 10%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
29°C or below
$258 交易量
<1%
30°C
$215 交易量
<1%
31°C
$301 交易量
<1%
32°C
$730 交易量
1%
33°C
$886 交易量
2%
34°C
$653 交易量
10%
35°C
$740 交易量
48%
36°C
$1,324 交易量
36%
37°C
$1,945 交易量
6%
38°C
$208 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$131 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a daytime high near 34–35°C in Taipei on August 30, with partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and southeasterly flow typically support highs in the mid-30s Celsius absent stronger monsoon or tropical influences. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable convective timing and cloud cover, keeping 35°C and 36°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,391结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a daytime high near 34–35°C in Taipei on August 30, with partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and southeasterly flow typically support highs in the mid-30s Celsius absent stronger monsoon or tropical influences. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable convective timing and cloud cover, keeping 35°C and 36°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,391结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to a daytime high near 34–35°C in Taipei on August 30, with partly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon thundershowers that could limit peak heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and southeasterly flow typically support highs in the mid-30s Celsius absent stronger monsoon or tropical influences. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable convective timing and cloud cover, keeping 35°C and 36°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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