**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on August 31 because official forecasts and model consensus point to typical wet-season overnight lows near 25–26°C.** In Panama’s tropical climate during the peak rainy season, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often above 85–90%), and frequent showers limit radiative cooling, keeping diurnal ranges narrow and nighttime minima stable around 24–26°C. Recent model runs from sources such as the Met Office and local observations show no significant shifts in steering patterns or atmospheric moisture that would produce an unusually cool or warm night. With resolution hinging on the single official minimum reading, traders weigh the narrow historical variability and current forecast consensus, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日巴拿马城的最低温度?
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
5%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on August 31 because official forecasts and model consensus point to typical wet-season overnight lows near 25–26°C.** In Panama’s tropical climate during the peak rainy season, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often above 85–90%), and frequent showers limit radiative cooling, keeping diurnal ranges narrow and nighttime minima stable around 24–26°C. Recent model runs from sources such as the Met Office and local observations show no significant shifts in steering patterns or atmospheric moisture that would produce an unusually cool or warm night. With resolution hinging on the single official minimum reading, traders weigh the narrow historical variability and current forecast consensus, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题