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icon for 8月29日多伦多气温最高?

8月29日多伦多气温最高?

icon for 8月29日多伦多气温最高?

8月29日多伦多气温最高?

26°C 45%

27°C 42%

25°C 10%

28°C 6%

Polymarket
最新

$13,865 交易量

26°C 45%

27°C 42%

25°C 10%

28°C 6%

Polymarket
最新

$13,865 交易量

22°C or below

$1,129 交易量

1%

23°C

$591 交易量

1%

24°C

$897 交易量

2%

25°C

$1,894 交易量

10%

26°C

$2,886 交易量

45%

27°C

$2,287 交易量

42%

28°C

$2,629 交易量

6%

29°C

$575 交易量

1%

30°C

$264 交易量

<1%

31°C

$323 交易量

<1%

32°C or higher

$390 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada set the expected daytime high for Toronto on August 29 at 26°C under a mix of sun and cloud, with southerly winds increasing to 20 km/h and gusts to 40 km/h in the afternoon.** This aligns with multiple model outputs and recent updates showing a high near 26°C (roughly 79°F), supported by warmer advection from the south and moderate humidity (humidex values around 29). Late-August climatology places the normal high near 24°C, so the current setup reflects modest above-average conditions driven by the wind shift and partial solar heating, though increasing afternoon cloud cover is expected to cap further warming. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C (44%) and 27°C (41.5%) because actual peak readings can vary by 1°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation, local urban effects versus the Pearson Airport reference station, and minor forecast adjustments as the day progresses. Lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band around the consensus forecast. New hourly observations or updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,865
结束日期
2026-08-29
市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada set the expected daytime high for Toronto on August 29 at 26°C under a mix of sun and cloud, with southerly winds increasing to 20 km/h and gusts to 40 km/h in the afternoon.** This aligns with multiple model outputs and recent updates showing a high near 26°C (roughly 79°F), supported by warmer advection from the south and moderate humidity (humidex values around 29). Late-August climatology places the normal high near 24°C, so the current setup reflects modest above-average conditions driven by the wind shift and partial solar heating, though increasing afternoon cloud cover is expected to cap further warming. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C (44%) and 27°C (41.5%) because actual peak readings can vary by 1°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation, local urban effects versus the Pearson Airport reference station, and minor forecast adjustments as the day progresses. Lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band around the consensus forecast. New hourly observations or updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,865
结束日期
2026-08-29
市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"8月29日多伦多气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"26°C",概率为 45%,其次是"27°C",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"8月29日多伦多气温最高?"已产生 $13.9K 的总交易量(自Aug 27, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"8月29日多伦多气温最高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"8月29日多伦多气温最高?"的当前领先者是"26°C",概率为 45%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"27°C",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"8月29日多伦多气温最高?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。