**Official forecasts from Environment Canada set the expected daytime high for Toronto on August 29 at 26°C under a mix of sun and cloud, with southerly winds increasing to 20 km/h and gusts to 40 km/h in the afternoon.** This aligns with multiple model outputs and recent updates showing a high near 26°C (roughly 79°F), supported by warmer advection from the south and moderate humidity (humidex values around 29). Late-August climatology places the normal high near 24°C, so the current setup reflects modest above-average conditions driven by the wind shift and partial solar heating, though increasing afternoon cloud cover is expected to cap further warming. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C (44%) and 27°C (41.5%) because actual peak readings can vary by 1°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation, local urban effects versus the Pearson Airport reference station, and minor forecast adjustments as the day progresses. Lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band around the consensus forecast. New hourly observations or updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日多伦多气温最高?
26°C 45%
27°C 42%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
$13,865 交易量
$13,865 交易量
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
45%
27°C
42%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 42%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
$13,865 交易量
$13,865 交易量
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
45%
27°C
42%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from Environment Canada set the expected daytime high for Toronto on August 29 at 26°C under a mix of sun and cloud, with southerly winds increasing to 20 km/h and gusts to 40 km/h in the afternoon.** This aligns with multiple model outputs and recent updates showing a high near 26°C (roughly 79°F), supported by warmer advection from the south and moderate humidity (humidex values around 29). Late-August climatology places the normal high near 24°C, so the current setup reflects modest above-average conditions driven by the wind shift and partial solar heating, though increasing afternoon cloud cover is expected to cap further warming. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 26°C (44%) and 27°C (41.5%) because actual peak readings can vary by 1°C depending on the exact timing of maximum insolation, local urban effects versus the Pearson Airport reference station, and minor forecast adjustments as the day progresses. Lower probabilities for 25°C or 28°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band around the consensus forecast. New hourly observations or updated model runs through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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