Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日重庆气温最高？
8月31日重庆气温最高？
35°C 33%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
8%
33°C
16%
34°C
28%
35°C
33%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 33%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
14%
32°C
$55 交易量
8%
33°C
$0 交易量
16%
34°C
$15 交易量
28%
35°C
$62 交易量
33%
36°C
$25 交易量
19%
37°C
$15 交易量
7%
38°C
$0 交易量
3%
39°C or higher
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$172结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$172结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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