**Trader consensus on the 32°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations for August 29, 2026, which show a maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast has maintained high humidity (65–95%) and limited solar heating, keeping daytime peaks in the low 30s despite the typical late-summer pattern. Official guidance explicitly listed a high of about 33°C with brief sunny intervals, yet station data and model runs converged on values that align with market-implied resolution at 32°C. The extremely low probabilities on all other bins underscore the narrow uncertainty band once the day’s peak is observed. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while heavier or more widespread rain would cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日香港气温最高？
8月29日香港气温最高？
32°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$131,508 交易量
$131,508 交易量
2026-08-29
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$131,508 交易量
$131,508 交易量
2026-08-29
29°C or below
$4,564 交易量
<1%
30°C
$19,384 交易量
<1%
31°C
$12,391 交易量
<1%
32°C
$29,139 交易量
100%
33°C
$22,398 交易量
<1%
34°C
$26,666 交易量
<1%
35°C
$7,413 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,994 交易量
<1%
37°C
$2,985 交易量
<1%
38°C
$2,274 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,301 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the 32°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations for August 29, 2026, which show a maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast has maintained high humidity (65–95%) and limited solar heating, keeping daytime peaks in the low 30s despite the typical late-summer pattern. Official guidance explicitly listed a high of about 33°C with brief sunny intervals, yet station data and model runs converged on values that align with market-implied resolution at 32°C. The extremely low probabilities on all other bins underscore the narrow uncertainty band once the day’s peak is observed.
A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while heavier or more widespread rain would cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$131,508结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the 32°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations for August 29, 2026, which show a maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast has maintained high humidity (65–95%) and limited solar heating, keeping daytime peaks in the low 30s despite the typical late-summer pattern. Official guidance explicitly listed a high of about 33°C with brief sunny intervals, yet station data and model runs converged on values that align with market-implied resolution at 32°C. The extremely low probabilities on all other bins underscore the narrow uncertainty band once the day’s peak is observed.
A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while heavier or more widespread rain would cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$131,508结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus on the 32°C outcome reflects the Hong Kong Observatory forecast and real-time observations for August 29, 2026, which show a maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** A broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast has maintained high humidity (65–95%) and limited solar heating, keeping daytime peaks in the low 30s despite the typical late-summer pattern. Official guidance explicitly listed a high of about 33°C with brief sunny intervals, yet station data and model runs converged on values that align with market-implied resolution at 32°C. The extremely low probabilities on all other bins underscore the narrow uncertainty band once the day’s peak is observed. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, while heavier or more widespread rain would cap the maximum below the leading outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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