Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日香港气温最高？
8月30日香港气温最高？
29°C 41%
30°C 36%
31°C 20%
32°C 5%
最新
$13,487 交易量
最新
$13,487 交易量
2026-08-30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
41%
30°C
36%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 36%
31°C 20%
32°C 5%
最新
$13,487 交易量
最新
$13,487 交易量
2026-08-30
26°C or below
$125 交易量
<1%
27°C
$927 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,503 交易量
2%
29°C
$2,199 交易量
41%
30°C
$3,203 交易量
36%
31°C
$1,776 交易量
20%
32°C
$1,004 交易量
5%
33°C
$500 交易量
2%
34°C
$459 交易量
<1%
35°C
$173 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$618 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,487结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,487结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus on Hong Kong's August 30 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30°C because official HKO guidance projects a 27–31°C range amid mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the peak relative to the prior day's 33°C under clearer conditions. Light southwest winds (force 2–3) offer minimal mixing, while 75–95% relative humidity further dampens daytime warming. Model runs diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of convection, keeping the 31°C outcome viable yet lower-probability at 19%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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