Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 31 amid a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, while other models indicate 21–23°C under more persistent overcast and rain. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as thicker cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of 24–25°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 22–24°C outcomes because recent model runs show modest variability in steering patterns and humidity, with historical August 31 highs averaging 24.6°C but recent cool, unsettled weather favoring lower peaks. Updated regional forecasts and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日多伦多气温最高?
23°C 32%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 10%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
10%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
22%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C或更高
5%
23°C 32%
22°C 25%
24°C 22%
21°C 10%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
10%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
22%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 26°C for Toronto on August 31 amid a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, while other models indicate 21–23°C under more persistent overcast and rain. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak readings, as thicker cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of 24–25°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 22–24°C outcomes because recent model runs show modest variability in steering patterns and humidity, with historical August 31 highs averaging 24.6°C but recent cool, unsettled weather favoring lower peaks. Updated regional forecasts and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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