**Forecast models and official guidance from Environment Canada indicate a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 30 under southwesterly flow bringing warmer, more humid air.** A mix of sun and cloud with only a 30% chance of showers supports this peak, above the late-August normal of 24°C. Trader emphasis on 23–24°C likely reflects uncertainty around cloud timing and any showers moderating insolation, as even modest increases in coverage or earlier precipitation can limit the maximum by 1–2°C through reduced surface heating. Stronger mixing or delayed cloud build-up would favor the higher end near 25–26°C. With resolution just hours away, updated model runs and observed trends in dew points and wind will drive the final outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日多伦多气温最高?
24°C 30%
23°C 26%
22°C 16%
25°C 14%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
16%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C或更高
4%
24°C 30%
23°C 26%
22°C 16%
25°C 14%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
16%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and official guidance from Environment Canada indicate a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 30 under southwesterly flow bringing warmer, more humid air.** A mix of sun and cloud with only a 30% chance of showers supports this peak, above the late-August normal of 24°C. Trader emphasis on 23–24°C likely reflects uncertainty around cloud timing and any showers moderating insolation, as even modest increases in coverage or earlier precipitation can limit the maximum by 1–2°C through reduced surface heating. Stronger mixing or delayed cloud build-up would favor the higher end near 25–26°C. With resolution just hours away, updated model runs and observed trends in dew points and wind will drive the final outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题