Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 30 indicate a daily minimum near 8–10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight in the absence of strong frontal activity. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and AccuWeather places the low in this range, consistent with late-winter climatology where typical minima hover around 7–11°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 7°C and 8°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover or wind speed can shift the exact overnight low by 1–2°C, while the 10°C outcome captures scenarios with marginally greater mixing or residual daytime heat retention. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
12°C 66%
7°C 45%
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
6°C或以下
46%
7°C
45%
8°C
27%
9°C
21%
10°C
26%
11°C
6%
12°C
66%
13°C
12%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C或更高
5%
12°C 66%
7°C 45%
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
6°C或以下
46%
7°C
45%
8°C
27%
9°C
21%
10°C
26%
11°C
6%
12°C
66%
13°C
12%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 30 indicate a daily minimum near 8–10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, supporting radiative cooling overnight in the absence of strong frontal activity. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and AccuWeather places the low in this range, consistent with late-winter climatology where typical minima hover around 7–11°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 7°C and 8°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover or wind speed can shift the exact overnight low by 1–2°C, while the 10°C outcome captures scenarios with marginally greater mixing or residual daytime heat retention. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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