Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 29 around 9–11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 7–8°C, limiting strong radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched implied probabilities for 2–6°C outcomes highlights model spread and uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer processes, such as variable cloud cover or subtle shifts in wind patterns that could enhance or suppress surface cooling relative to climatological August baselines near 7°C. Upcoming hourly observations and updated runs will clarify resolution against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
2°C或以下 36%
4°C 35%
6°C 35%
5°C 34%
2°C或以下
36%
3°C
26%
4°C
35%
5°C
34%
6°C
35%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
2°C或以下 36%
4°C 35%
6°C 35%
5°C 34%
2°C或以下
36%
3°C
26%
4°C
35%
5°C
34%
6°C
35%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 29 around 9–11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 7–8°C, limiting strong radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched implied probabilities for 2–6°C outcomes highlights model spread and uncertainty in overnight boundary-layer processes, such as variable cloud cover or subtle shifts in wind patterns that could enhance or suppress surface cooling relative to climatological August baselines near 7°C. Upcoming hourly observations and updated runs will clarify resolution against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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