**The overwhelming market consensus on 84-85°F for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on August 28, 2026, reflects official NOAA observations confirming a daily maximum of 85°F at the designated station.** National Weather Service data and hourly readings from LAX showed afternoon peaks near 29.4°C (approximately 85°F) under mostly sunny skies with a persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific. This shallow marine layer, combined with light southwest winds and elevated dew points, moderated coastal heating even as a broader Southern California heat wave pushed inland highs well above 100°F. Forecast models had aligned on a narrow range around 84–87°F, and the final verified maximum fell squarely within the 84-85°F bin used for market resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited given the post-event confirmation. Minor revisions to preliminary data are possible before the next day's observations are finalized, though NOAA's quality-control process rarely shifts maxima by more than 1°F. Boundary-edge measurement errors or station-specific anomalies could theoretically affect resolution, but the observed peak was comfortably inside the range with no indication of such issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日洛杉矶气温最高?
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F或更低 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,874 交易量
$60,874 交易量
79°F或更低
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
79°F或更低 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$60,874 交易量
$60,874 交易量
79°F或更低
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**The overwhelming market consensus on 84-85°F for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on August 28, 2026, reflects official NOAA observations confirming a daily maximum of 85°F at the designated station.** National Weather Service data and hourly readings from LAX showed afternoon peaks near 29.4°C (approximately 85°F) under mostly sunny skies with a persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific. This shallow marine layer, combined with light southwest winds and elevated dew points, moderated coastal heating even as a broader Southern California heat wave pushed inland highs well above 100°F. Forecast models had aligned on a narrow range around 84–87°F, and the final verified maximum fell squarely within the 84-85°F bin used for market resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited given the post-event confirmation. Minor revisions to preliminary data are possible before the next day's observations are finalized, though NOAA's quality-control process rarely shifts maxima by more than 1°F. Boundary-edge measurement errors or station-specific anomalies could theoretically affect resolution, but the observed peak was comfortably inside the range with no indication of such issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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