**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling. August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日开普敦气温最高？
8月31日开普敦气温最高？
17°C 37%
18°C 27%
20°C 25%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
10%
17°C
37%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
4%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 37%
18°C 27%
20°C 25%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
13°C
$0 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
14%
16°C
$117 交易量
10%
17°C
$74 交易量
37%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$238 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling.
August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$430结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling.
August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$430结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling. August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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