Recent forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and local models indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 19–20 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside potential if breaks in the rain allow stronger insolation. Traders are therefore concentrating positions on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning low weight to outcomes above 21 °C or below 18 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather prediction as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
20°C 46%
19°C 34%
21°C 12%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
34%
20°C
46%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 46%
19°C 34%
21°C 12%
18°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
15℃
$0 交易量
<1%
16°C
$61 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
8%
18°C
$0 交易量
10%
19°C
$39 交易量
34%
20°C
$39 交易量
46%
21°C
$32 交易量
12%
22°C
$4 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and local models indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 19–20 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside potential if breaks in the rain allow stronger insolation. Traders are therefore concentrating positions on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning low weight to outcomes above 21 °C or below 18 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather prediction as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$186结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and local models indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 19–20 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside potential if breaks in the rain allow stronger insolation. Traders are therefore concentrating positions on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning low weight to outcomes above 21 °C or below 18 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather prediction as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$186结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and local models indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 19–20 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upside potential if breaks in the rain allow stronger insolation. Traders are therefore concentrating positions on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning low weight to outcomes above 21 °C or below 18 °C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather prediction as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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