Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS data and agencies tracking North Sea conditions show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 30 stabilizing near 21°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C. Persistent Atlantic maritime air, moderate westerly winds, and widespread cloud cover with light showers are limiting solar insolation and preventing significant warming, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in some prior Augusts. This positions 21°C as the strongest market-implied outcome at 58.5%, with 22°C holding secondary support at 27.5% amid minor model variability, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Updated model guidance and observational verification in the final 24 hours will be the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月30日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
21°C 59%
22°C 28%
20°C 13%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
13%
21°C
59%
22°C
28%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 59%
22°C 28%
20°C 13%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
$589 交易量
<1%
17°C
$119 交易量
<1%
18°C
$352 交易量
<1%
19°C
$478 交易量
1%
20°C
$2,212 交易量
13%
21°C
$2,001 交易量
59%
22°C
$1,839 交易量
28%
23°C
$1,107 交易量
4%
24°C
$207 交易量
<1%
25°C
$115 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$396 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS data and agencies tracking North Sea conditions show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 30 stabilizing near 21°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C. Persistent Atlantic maritime air, moderate westerly winds, and widespread cloud cover with light showers are limiting solar insolation and preventing significant warming, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in some prior Augusts. This positions 21°C as the strongest market-implied outcome at 58.5%, with 22°C holding secondary support at 27.5% amid minor model variability, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Updated model guidance and observational verification in the final 24 hours will be the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$9,298结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS data and agencies tracking North Sea conditions show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 30 stabilizing near 21°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C. Persistent Atlantic maritime air, moderate westerly winds, and widespread cloud cover with light showers are limiting solar insolation and preventing significant warming, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in some prior Augusts. This positions 21°C as the strongest market-implied outcome at 58.5%, with 22°C holding secondary support at 27.5% amid minor model variability, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Updated model guidance and observational verification in the final 24 hours will be the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,298结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources including GFS data and agencies tracking North Sea conditions show peak daytime temperatures in Amsterdam on August 30 stabilizing near 21°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C. Persistent Atlantic maritime air, moderate westerly winds, and widespread cloud cover with light showers are limiting solar insolation and preventing significant warming, keeping readings close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in some prior Augusts. This positions 21°C as the strongest market-implied outcome at 58.5%, with 22°C holding secondary support at 27.5% amid minor model variability, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable pattern. Updated model guidance and observational verification in the final 24 hours will be the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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