Recent NWS Chicago forecasts project a Sunday high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, placing the daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 84-87°F bins as southerly flow advects warmer air while morning clouds limit full solar heating. Seasonal norms near 81°F and model consensus around this range create the tight 45-55% split between leading outcomes, with modest probabilities on 82-83°F or 88-89°F reflecting lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and exact wind speeds. Final model runs and morning observations on August 30 will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月30日最高气温?
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 16%
华氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96华氏度或更高
<1%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 16%
华氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent NWS Chicago forecasts project a Sunday high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 25 mph, placing the daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 84-87°F bins as southerly flow advects warmer air while morning clouds limit full solar heating. Seasonal norms near 81°F and model consensus around this range create the tight 45-55% split between leading outcomes, with modest probabilities on 82-83°F or 88-89°F reflecting lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and exact wind speeds. Final model runs and morning observations on August 30 will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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