Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest warm-up in Warsaw for August 31 under southwesterly flow, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 25–27 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60 % chance of showers. This keeps the three leading outcomes tightly clustered, as light precipitation and variable cloud thickness can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher. Surface pressure near 1014 hPa and moderate humidity levels support only limited instability, reducing the probability of strong convective cooling while also capping extreme warmth. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs for precise timing of any showers relative to the daily maximum, with resolution hinging on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月31日的最高温度？
华沙8月31日的最高温度？
26°C 34%
27°C or higher 28%
25°C 26%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
26%
26°C
34%
27°C or higher
28%
26°C 34%
27°C or higher 28%
25°C 26%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C or below
$196 交易量
<1%
18°C
$196 交易量
<1%
19°C
$296 交易量
<1%
20°C
$296 交易量
<1%
21°C
$80 交易量
<1%
22°C
$58 交易量
2%
23°C
$136 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
10%
25°C
$181 交易量
26%
26°C
$46 交易量
34%
27°C or higher
$732 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest warm-up in Warsaw for August 31 under southwesterly flow, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 25–27 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60 % chance of showers. This keeps the three leading outcomes tightly clustered, as light precipitation and variable cloud thickness can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher. Surface pressure near 1014 hPa and moderate humidity levels support only limited instability, reducing the probability of strong convective cooling while also capping extreme warmth. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs for precise timing of any showers relative to the daily maximum, with resolution hinging on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,217结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest warm-up in Warsaw for August 31 under southwesterly flow, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 25–27 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60 % chance of showers. This keeps the three leading outcomes tightly clustered, as light precipitation and variable cloud thickness can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher. Surface pressure near 1014 hPa and moderate humidity levels support only limited instability, reducing the probability of strong convective cooling while also capping extreme warmth. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs for precise timing of any showers relative to the daily maximum, with resolution hinging on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,217结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest warm-up in Warsaw for August 31 under southwesterly flow, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 25–27 °C amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60 % chance of showers. This keeps the three leading outcomes tightly clustered, as light precipitation and variable cloud thickness can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2 °C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher. Surface pressure near 1014 hPa and moderate humidity levels support only limited instability, reducing the probability of strong convective cooling while also capping extreme warmth. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs for precise timing of any showers relative to the daily maximum, with resolution hinging on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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