Recent meteorological model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver of São Paulo's minimum temperature on August 31, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts centering around 19–20 °C. Warmer daytime maxima near 31–34 °C have elevated boundary-layer moisture, limiting how far surface temperatures can drop despite the winter season's typical clear-sky potential. Trader emphasis on the closely bunched 17 °C-or-below, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes reflects small differences in forecast dew-point depression, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling would favor the lower bins, while increased low-level moisture or wind would support readings nearer 20–21 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日圣保罗的最低温度？
8月31日圣保罗的最低温度？
21°C 49%
17°C或以下 41%
19°C 32%
18°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C或以下
41%
18°C
30%
19°C
32%
20°C
26%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
1%
21°C 49%
17°C或以下 41%
19°C 32%
18°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
41%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$0 交易量
32%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
49%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$220 交易量
1%
24°C
$140 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$85 交易量
1%
27°C或更高
$95 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver of São Paulo's minimum temperature on August 31, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts centering around 19–20 °C. Warmer daytime maxima near 31–34 °C have elevated boundary-layer moisture, limiting how far surface temperatures can drop despite the winter season's typical clear-sky potential. Trader emphasis on the closely bunched 17 °C-or-below, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes reflects small differences in forecast dew-point depression, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling would favor the lower bins, while increased low-level moisture or wind would support readings nearer 20–21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$530结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver of São Paulo's minimum temperature on August 31, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts centering around 19–20 °C. Warmer daytime maxima near 31–34 °C have elevated boundary-layer moisture, limiting how far surface temperatures can drop despite the winter season's typical clear-sky potential. Trader emphasis on the closely bunched 17 °C-or-below, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes reflects small differences in forecast dew-point depression, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling would favor the lower bins, while increased low-level moisture or wind would support readings nearer 20–21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$530结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds as the main driver of São Paulo's minimum temperature on August 31, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts centering around 19–20 °C. Warmer daytime maxima near 31–34 °C have elevated boundary-layer moisture, limiting how far surface temperatures can drop despite the winter season's typical clear-sky potential. Trader emphasis on the closely bunched 17 °C-or-below, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes reflects small differences in forecast dew-point depression, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. A shift toward clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling would favor the lower bins, while increased low-level moisture or wind would support readings nearer 20–21 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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