**Trader consensus centers on 86–89°F for Atlanta’s August 29 high, with 86–87°F holding a narrow lead at 39.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a peak near 88°F under partly sunny skies, east winds of 5–10 mph, and afternoon humidity near 60–75%. The primary uncertainty stems from convective timing: isolated thunderstorms, already carrying a 30–50% probability after midday, can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation. Stronger or earlier storms favor the lower bin (84–87°F), while delayed or scattered activity allows readings to reach the upper 80s. Late-August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 88°F, so current positioning reflects modest downward pressure from moisture and instability rather than anomalous heat. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日亚特兰大最高温度?
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on 86–89°F for Atlanta’s August 29 high, with 86–87°F holding a narrow lead at 39.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a peak near 88°F under partly sunny skies, east winds of 5–10 mph, and afternoon humidity near 60–75%. The primary uncertainty stems from convective timing: isolated thunderstorms, already carrying a 30–50% probability after midday, can cap temperatures through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation. Stronger or earlier storms favor the lower bin (84–87°F), while delayed or scattered activity allows readings to reach the upper 80s. Late-August climatology shows typical daily maxima near 88°F, so current positioning reflects modest downward pressure from moisture and instability rather than anomalous heat. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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