Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, along with agency guidance, point to an afternoon maximum near 30–31 °C in Busan on 30 August, with southwesterly flow off the Korea Strait supplying marine air that moderates temperatures while scattered convection and 50–60 % storm probability reduce insolation. High dew points near 25–27 °C sustain elevated heat indices but also favor cloud build-up that caps the peak; small differences in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. Historical late-August maxima average 29–31 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much convective suppression will occur before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日釜山气温最高?
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C或更高
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
12%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
32%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, along with agency guidance, point to an afternoon maximum near 30–31 °C in Busan on 30 August, with southwesterly flow off the Korea Strait supplying marine air that moderates temperatures while scattered convection and 50–60 % storm probability reduce insolation. High dew points near 25–27 °C sustain elevated heat indices but also favor cloud build-up that caps the peak; small differences in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. Historical late-August maxima average 29–31 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in how much convective suppression will occur before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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