Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure favoring diurnal warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Stable anticyclonic conditions following recent variability have tightened the forecast range, though small revisions in model runs could still shift outcomes within the 29–31°C window before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日米兰最高气温？
8月30日米兰最高气温？
30°C 55%
29°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
25%
30°C
55%
31°C
20%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 55%
29°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$1,572 交易量
<1%
24°C
$348 交易量
<1%
25°C
$348 交易量
<1%
26°C
$287 交易量
<1%
27°C
$98 交易量
1%
28°C
$112 交易量
4%
29°C
$766 交易量
25%
30°C
$586 交易量
55%
31°C
$527 交易量
20%
32°C
$396 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$239 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure favoring diurnal warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Stable anticyclonic conditions following recent variability have tightened the forecast range, though small revisions in model runs could still shift outcomes within the 29–31°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,193结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure favoring diurnal warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Stable anticyclonic conditions following recent variability have tightened the forecast range, though small revisions in model runs could still shift outcomes within the 29–31°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,193结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS show strong consensus for a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure favoring diurnal warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor spread in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Stable anticyclonic conditions following recent variability have tightened the forecast range, though small revisions in model runs could still shift outcomes within the 29–31°C window before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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