Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, with clear skies and light winds overnight into August 30 supporting radiative cooling but limiting the drop to a minimum near 20–22°C in Milan. This warm late-summer air mass, combined with dew points around 16–19°C and minimal cloud cover, favors overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s rather than cooler values, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 16–19°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows little variability in steering patterns or humidity, reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum while highlighting how even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could nudge the low slightly higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日米兰最低气温？
8月30日米兰最低气温？
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
24°C or higher 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
14°C or below
6%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
50%
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
24°C or higher 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
14°C or below
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
28%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
50%
22°C
$27 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
14%
24°C or higher
$5 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, with clear skies and light winds overnight into August 30 supporting radiative cooling but limiting the drop to a minimum near 20–22°C in Milan. This warm late-summer air mass, combined with dew points around 16–19°C and minimal cloud cover, favors overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s rather than cooler values, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 16–19°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows little variability in steering patterns or humidity, reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum while highlighting how even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could nudge the low slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$37结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, with clear skies and light winds overnight into August 30 supporting radiative cooling but limiting the drop to a minimum near 20–22°C in Milan. This warm late-summer air mass, combined with dew points around 16–19°C and minimal cloud cover, favors overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s rather than cooler values, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 16–19°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows little variability in steering patterns or humidity, reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum while highlighting how even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could nudge the low slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, with clear skies and light winds overnight into August 30 supporting radiative cooling but limiting the drop to a minimum near 20–22°C in Milan. This warm late-summer air mass, combined with dew points around 16–19°C and minimal cloud cover, favors overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s rather than cooler values, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 16–19°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies shows little variability in steering patterns or humidity, reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum while highlighting how even modest increases in wind or residual moisture could nudge the low slightly higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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