Latest forecasts from regional and global models show a spread in Sao Paulo's expected peak on August 30, with afternoon highs most often projected between 31–34 °C under a stable warm, dry air mass and northwest winds. Differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33 °C. Low relative humidity and minimal precipitation risk keep the upper end of the distribution modest, while recent model runs have not converged on a single maximum. Updated INMET and ECMWF guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月30日圣保罗的最高温度？
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 17%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C或以下
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
14%
31°C
25%
32°C
25%
33°C
17%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 17%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C或以下
$768 交易量
5%
29°C
$430 交易量
7%
30°C
$680 交易量
14%
31°C
$336 交易量
25%
32°C
$776 交易量
25%
33°C
$874 交易量
17%
34°C
$553 交易量
8%
35°C
$106 交易量
3%
36°C
$72 交易量
1%
37°C
$320 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$1,172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional and global models show a spread in Sao Paulo's expected peak on August 30, with afternoon highs most often projected between 31–34 °C under a stable warm, dry air mass and northwest winds. Differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33 °C. Low relative humidity and minimal precipitation risk keep the upper end of the distribution modest, while recent model runs have not converged on a single maximum. Updated INMET and ECMWF guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
交易量
$6,088结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional and global models show a spread in Sao Paulo's expected peak on August 30, with afternoon highs most often projected between 31–34 °C under a stable warm, dry air mass and northwest winds. Differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33 °C. Low relative humidity and minimal precipitation risk keep the upper end of the distribution modest, while recent model runs have not converged on a single maximum. Updated INMET and ECMWF guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,088结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETLatest forecasts from regional and global models show a spread in Sao Paulo's expected peak on August 30, with afternoon highs most often projected between 31–34 °C under a stable warm, dry air mass and northwest winds. Differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–33 °C. Low relative humidity and minimal precipitation risk keep the upper end of the distribution modest, while recent model runs have not converged on a single maximum. Updated INMET and ECMWF guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题