Forecast models from sources including Climatempo and international services indicate São Paulo will reach a daytime peak of 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and low humidity near 30 percent, allowing efficient surface heating. This aligns with recent August warmth exceeding the 22 °C climatological average, driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover that enhances incoming solar radiation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because most hourly guidance and ensemble runs cluster there, while 34 °C remains competitive due to minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat effects; lower outcomes like 32 °C or 35 °C receive less support absent major forecast revisions before evening observations close the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日圣保罗的最高温度?
33°C 47%
34°C 37%
32°C 14%
35°C 5%
$12,994 交易量
$12,994 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
37%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 37%
32°C 14%
35°C 5%
$12,994 交易量
$12,994 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
37%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including Climatempo and international services indicate São Paulo will reach a daytime peak of 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and low humidity near 30 percent, allowing efficient surface heating. This aligns with recent August warmth exceeding the 22 °C climatological average, driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover that enhances incoming solar radiation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because most hourly guidance and ensemble runs cluster there, while 34 °C remains competitive due to minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat effects; lower outcomes like 32 °C or 35 °C receive less support absent major forecast revisions before evening observations close the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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