Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日圣保罗的最低温度？
8月29日圣保罗的最低温度？
22°C 91%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C或以下 <1%
$1,435 交易量
$1,435 交易量
2026-08-29
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
28%
21°C
38%
22°C
71%
23°C或以上
<1%
22°C 91%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C或以下 <1%
$1,435 交易量
$1,435 交易量
2026-08-29
13°C或以下
$32 交易量
<1%
14°C
$262 交易量
<1%
15°C
$34 交易量
<1%
16°C
$96 交易量
<1%
17°C
$133 交易量
<1%
18°C
$111 交易量
1%
19°C
$115 交易量
1%
20°C
$156 交易量
28%
21°C
$28 交易量
38%
22°C
$177 交易量
71%
23°C或以上
$290 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,435结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,435结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETTraders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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