**Forecast models and official guidance from MetService point to a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on August 28, 2026, driven by a northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northerly winds have advected milder air over the region, with current observations and ensemble runs showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 10–12°C to afternoon peaks around 14–16°C despite variable cloud and scattered showers. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when highs typically average 13–15°C, but recent model consensus has held steady near the upper end of that range without signals for stronger cooling. The market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C because trader assessments incorporate these real-time forecast updates and the limited time remaining for significant shifts before the daily maximum is recorded. A rapid southerly change bringing cooler maritime air or heavier, prolonged rainfall could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月28日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$54,795 交易量
$54,795 交易量
2026-08-28
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$54,795 交易量
$54,795 交易量
2026-08-28
10°C or below
$667 交易量
<1%
11°C
$520 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,446 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,762 交易量
<1%
14°C
$9,485 交易量
<1%
15°C
$13,336 交易量
<1%
16°C
$8,322 交易量
100%
17°C
$11,341 交易量
1%
18°C
$4,813 交易量
<1%
19°C
$646 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from MetService point to a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on August 28, 2026, driven by a northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.**
Northerly winds have advected milder air over the region, with current observations and ensemble runs showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 10–12°C to afternoon peaks around 14–16°C despite variable cloud and scattered showers. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when highs typically average 13–15°C, but recent model consensus has held steady near the upper end of that range without signals for stronger cooling. The market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C because trader assessments incorporate these real-time forecast updates and the limited time remaining for significant shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
A rapid southerly change bringing cooler maritime air or heavier, prolonged rainfall could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$54,795结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from MetService point to a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on August 28, 2026, driven by a northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.**
Northerly winds have advected milder air over the region, with current observations and ensemble runs showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 10–12°C to afternoon peaks around 14–16°C despite variable cloud and scattered showers. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when highs typically average 13–15°C, but recent model consensus has held steady near the upper end of that range without signals for stronger cooling. The market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C because trader assessments incorporate these real-time forecast updates and the limited time remaining for significant shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
A rapid southerly change bringing cooler maritime air or heavier, prolonged rainfall could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,795结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from MetService point to a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on August 28, 2026, driven by a northerly flow ahead of an approaching front.** Northerly winds have advected milder air over the region, with current observations and ensemble runs showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 10–12°C to afternoon peaks around 14–16°C despite variable cloud and scattered showers. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when highs typically average 13–15°C, but recent model consensus has held steady near the upper end of that range without signals for stronger cooling. The market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C because trader assessments incorporate these real-time forecast updates and the limited time remaining for significant shifts before the daily maximum is recorded. A rapid southerly change bringing cooler maritime air or heavier, prolonged rainfall could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such an outcome unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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