**Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, which are expected to suppress daytime heating and cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 33°C.** Recent runs show consensus around 30–32°C highs, driven by high humidity, light variable winds, and precipitation that reduces incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling. These conditions create the tight clustering between 31–34°C in trader sentiment, as small variations in storm timing, cloud thickness, or rainfall intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical data for the date average 33°C but drop notably on rainy days, underscoring how the current unstable pattern favors the lower end of the distribution while leaving room for brief clearer intervals to push readings higher. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日广州气温最高?
32°C 29%
33°C 29%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
29%
33°C
29%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 29%
31°C 19%
34°C 14%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
29%
33°C
29%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 30, 2026, which are expected to suppress daytime heating and cap the maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 33°C.** Recent runs show consensus around 30–32°C highs, driven by high humidity, light variable winds, and precipitation that reduces incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling. These conditions create the tight clustering between 31–34°C in trader sentiment, as small variations in storm timing, cloud thickness, or rainfall intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical data for the date average 33°C but drop notably on rainy days, underscoring how the current unstable pattern favors the lower end of the distribution while leaving room for brief clearer intervals to push readings higher. Updated model guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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