Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Busan will see increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 10–60 mm of rain on August 28, suppressing daytime heating relative to the preceding heatwave. Highs are projected in the 28–31 °C range, with the highest values most likely during any brief breaks in precipitation. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and the seasonal late-August decline in insolation further limit peak temperatures. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 28 °C and 31 °C, with 30 °C and 29 °C as the modal outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest cooling amid unsettled weather.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日釜山气温最高?
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
28°C 17%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
17%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
18%
32°C
8%
33°C
9%
34°C或更高
3%
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
31°C 18%
28°C 17%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
17%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
18%
32°C
8%
33°C
9%
34°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Busan will see increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 10–60 mm of rain on August 28, suppressing daytime heating relative to the preceding heatwave. Highs are projected in the 28–31 °C range, with the highest values most likely during any brief breaks in precipitation. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and the seasonal late-August decline in insolation further limit peak temperatures. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 28 °C and 31 °C, with 30 °C and 29 °C as the modal outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest cooling amid unsettled weather.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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