Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日伦敦气温最高？
8月26日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
13%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 27%
26°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$503 交易量
7%
24°C
$362 交易量
13%
25°C
$583 交易量
27%
26°C
$601 交易量
26%
27°C
$396 交易量
15%
28°C
$71 交易量
7%
29°C
$197 交易量
4%
30°C
$8 交易量
<1%
31°C
$440 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,605结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,605结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show ensemble spreads centered on daily maximum temperatures of 25–26°C for London on August 26, with the tightest clustering between those two outcomes driving the near-even market odds. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including a possible Atlantic ridge and light southeasterly flow, support modest warming above seasonal normals around 22°C, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and thus exact highs. Diurnal temperature ranges and urban heat-island effects further differentiate the 24–27°C band, with resolution hinging on official observations at sites such as Heathrow. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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