**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日上海气温最高？
8月26日上海气温最高？
32°C 54%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
54%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
31°C 21%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C or below
$119 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,075 交易量
<1%
28°C
$275 交易量
<1%
29°C
$647 交易量
2%
30°C
$609 交易量
5%
31°C
$3,732 交易量
21%
32°C
$749 交易量
54%
33°C
$733 交易量
17%
34°C
$985 交易量
5%
35°C
$99 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,176结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,176结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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